%0 Journal Article %J The Social Science Journal %D 2017 %T Determinants of residential Firewise behaviors in Central Oregon %A Erika Allen Wolters %A Brent S. Steel %A Daniel Weston %A Mark Brunson %K Community Wildfire Protection Plan %K Firewise %K fpf %K Wildfires %K WUI %B The Social Science Journal %V 54 %P 168 - 178 %G eng %U http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0362331916300891 %R https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soscij.2016.12.004 %0 Journal Article %J Ecology and Society %D 2017 %T Diversity in forest management to reduce wildfire losses: implications for resilience %A Susan Charnley %A Spies, Thomas A %A Ana Barros %A Eric White %A Keith A. Olsen %K fpf %B Ecology and Society %V 22 %G eng %0 Journal Article %J Ecology and Society %D 2017 %T Effects of accelerated wildfire on future fire regimes and implications for the United States federal fire policy %A Alan A. Ager %A Barros, Ana M. G. %A Haiganoush K. Preisler %A Day, Michelle A. %A Spies, Thomas A %A Bailey, John D. %A Bolte, John P. %K Envision %K forest landscape disturbance modeling %K Forest restoration %K fpf %K wildfire feedbacks %K Wildfire simulation %K wildfire suppression policy %B Ecology and Society %V 22 %G eng %U https://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol22/iss4/art12/ %& 12 %R 10.5751/ES-09680-220412 %0 Journal Article %J Ecology and Society %D 2017 %T Integrating Ecological and Social Knowledge: Learning from CHANS Research %A Bruce Shindler %A Spies, Thomas A %A John Bolte %A Kline, Jeffrey D. %K fpf %B Ecology and Society %I The Resilience Alliance %V 22 %G eng %U https://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol22/iss1/art26/ %& 26 %R 10.5751/ES-08776-220126 %0 Journal Article %J Ecology and Society %D 2017 %T Integrating social science into empirical models of coupled human and natural systems %A Kline, Jeffrey D. %A White, Eric M. %A Fischer, A Paige %A Steen-Adams, Michelle M. %A Susan Charnley %A Christine S. Olsen %A Spies, Thomas A %A Bailey, John D. %K CHANS %K coupled human and natural systems %K fpf %K integrated social and ecological models %K interdisciplinary research %K wildfire %B Ecology and Society %V 22 %G eng %U https://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol22/iss3/art25/ %& 25 %R 10.5751/ES-09329-220325 %0 Journal Article %J Ecology and Society %D 2017 %T Spatiotemporal dynamics of simulated wildfire, forest management and forest succession in central Oregon, U.S.A. %A Ana Barros %A Alan A. Ager %A Michelle Day %A H. Preisler %A Spies, Thomas A %A Eric White %A Robert J. Pabst %A Keith A. Olsen %A Platt, Emily K. %A Bailey, John D. %A John Bolte %K fpf %B Ecology and Society %V 22 %G eng %U https://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol22/iss1/art24/ %R 10.5751/ES-08917-220124 %0 Journal Article %J Ecology and Society %D 2017 %T Using an agent-based model to examine forest management outcomes in a fire-prone landscape in Oregon, USA %A Spies, Thomas %A Eric White %A Ager, Alan %A Kline, Jeffrey D. %A John Bolte %A Platt, Emily %A Keith Olsen %A Pabst, Robert %A Ana Barros %A Bailey, John %A others %K fpf %B Ecology and Society %I The Resilience Alliance %V 22 %G eng %U https://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol22/iss1/art25/ %R 10.5751/ES-08841-220125 KW - adaptation %0 Journal Article %J Ecology and Society %D 2014 %T Examining fire-prone forest landscapes as coupled human and natural systems %A Spies, Thomas A %A White, Eric M. %A Kline, Jeffrey D. %A Fischer, A Paige %A Ager, Alan %A Bailey, John %A John Bolte %A Koch, Jennifer %A Platt, Emily %A Christine S. Olsen %A Jacobs, Derric %A Bruce Shindler %A Steen-Adams, Michelle M. %A Hammer, Roger %K agent-based model %K CHANS %K coupled human and natural systems %K fire policy %K fire-prone landscapes %K fpf %B Ecology and Society %V 19 %G eng %U https://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol19/iss3/art9/ %& 9 %R 10.5751/ES-06584-190309 %0 Audiovisual Material %D 2012 %T Forests, People, Fire: A coupled human and natural system in a fire-prone landscape %A Spies, Tom %A John Bolte %B FPF Presentation at LTER Science Hour %I FPF Presentation at LTER Science Hour %8 06/2012 %G eng %U http://fpf.forestry.oregonstate.edu/sites/default/files/documents/fpf_presentation_at_lter_science_hour.pdf %0 Audiovisual Material %D 2011 %T Considering the Suitability of Engaging Stakeholders in Forest-Based Socio-Ecological Systems Modeling %A Erika Gorczyca %A Jessica Leahy %A Kathleen P Bell %A Jeremy Wilson %K ISSRM %I International Symposium on Society and Resource Management %C Madison, WI %8 06/2011 %G eng %U http://fpf.forestry.oregonstate.edu/sites/default/files/documents/ISSRM_2011_Gorczyca_Final.pdf %0 Audiovisual Material %D 2011 %T Envisioning Future Landscape Trajectories (Bend) %A John Bolte %G eng %0 Audiovisual Material %D 2011 %T Modeling socio-ecological adaptation in fire-prone landscapes %A Fischer, Paige %A Spies, Tom %A John Bolte %I Society for Applied Anthropology %8 03/2011 %G eng %U http://fpf.forestry.oregonstate.edu/sites/default/files/documents/SFAA_APFischer_033111.pdf %0 Audiovisual Material %D 2010 %T Envisioning Future Landscape Trajectories %A John Bolte %G eng %0 Journal Article %J Ecology and Society %D 2010 %T Evaluating Today’s Landscape Multifunctionality and Providing an Alternative Future: A Normative Scenario Approach %A Rainer Waldhardt %A Martin Bach %A René Borresch %A Lutz Breuer %A Tim Diekötter %A Hans-Georg Frede %A Stefan Gäth %A Oliver Ginzler %A Thomas Gottschalk %A Stefan Julich %A Matthias Krumpholz %A Friedrich Kuhlmann %A Annette Otte %A Birgit Reger %A Wolfgang Reiher %A Kim Schmitz %A P. Michael Schmitz %A Patrick Sheridan %A Dietmar Simmering %A Cornelia Weist %A Volkmar Wolters %A Dorit Zörner %K agriculture %K ecosystem services %K Germany %K modeling %K sustainability %B Ecology and Society %V 15 %G eng %0 Journal Article %J Ecological Modelling %D 2009 %T Modelling carbon storage in highly fragmented and human-dominated landscapes: Linking land-cover patterns and ecosystem models %A D.T. Robinson %A D.G. Brown %A W.S. Currie %K BIOME-BGC %K Carbon cycling %K Eastern deciduous forests %K Ecosystem process modelling %K Edge effects %K Fragmentation %K Land-use and land-cover change %K Within-patch heterogeneity %B Ecological Modelling %V 220 %P 1325 - 1338 %G eng %U http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6VBS-4VXCCM9-1/2/e5191bc8cdda6be8d0f090bca2138b67 %R DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2009.02.020 %0 Journal Article %J Journal of Natural Resources Policy Research %D 2009 %T The Potential of Agent-Based Modelling for Performing Economic Analysis of Adaptive Natural Resource Management %A Loomis, John %A Bond, Craig %A Harpman, David %B Journal of Natural Resources Policy Research %V 1 %P 35-48 %G eng %U http://www.informaworld.com/10.1080/19390450802509773 %& 35 %0 Journal Article %J Geoforum %D 2008 %T Exurbia from the bottom-up: Confronting empirical challenges to characterizing a complex system %A Daniel G. Brown %A Derek T. Robinson %A Li An %A Joan I. Nassauer %A Moira Zellner %A William Rand %A Rick Riolo %A Scott E. Page %A Bobbi Low %A Zhifang Wang %K Ecological effects %K Land-cover change %K Land-use change %K Spatial modeling %K Urban sprawl %B Geoforum %V 39 %P 805 - 818 %G eng %U http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6V68-4NTHN5J-2/2/95cec4d7f094795fc6ba7ca8cba93142 %R DOI: 10.1016/j.geoforum.2007.02.010 %0 Journal Article %J Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment %D 2008 %T A method to define a typology for agent-based analysis in regional land-use research %A Diego Valbuena %A Peter H. Verburg %A Arnold K. Bregt %K Agent definition and parameterization %K Agent typology %K Land use/cover change %K Land-use decisions and strategies %K Multi-agent systems %B Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment %V 128 %P 27 - 36 %G eng %U http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6T3Y-4SRM81V-1/2/d805d23ca72a45ffa2214893d72541cf %R DOI: 10.1016/j.agee.2008.04.015 %0 Journal Article %J Journal of Forestry %D 2006 %T Letdowns, Wake-Up Calls, and Constructed Preferences: Peoples Responses to Fuel and Wildfire Risks %A Arvai, Joseph %A Gregory, Robin %A Ohlson, Dan %A Blackwell, Bruce %A Gray, Robert %X This article presents results from three studies, which seek to develop a better understanding of some of the difficulties faced by forest managers in making wildfire risk management decisions. Study 1 showed that both the experts and the public tend to emphasize uncontrollable factors when asked to consider the causes of wildfires. Study 2 revealed the large role played by emotional responses in judgments about wildfire risks. Study 3 showed that preferences for risk management options tend to be remarkably malleable in response to even slight shifts in framing. In contrast to previous studies that call for improved public education about wildfire, our results emphasize the need to introduce improved processes to inform both expert and public decisionmaking for fire risk management. %B Journal of Forestry %V 104 %P 173-181(9) %G eng %U http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/saf/jof/2006/00000104/00000004/art00004 %0 Journal Article %J International Journal of Wilderness %D 2006 %T Trust in Wildland Fire and Fuel Management Decisions %A Adam Liljeblad %A William T. Borrie %B International Journal of Wilderness %V 12 %P 39-43 %8 04/2006 %G eng %0 Magazine Article %D 2005 %T Pattern-oriented modeling of agent-based complex systems: lessons from ecology. %A Grimm,Volker %A Revilla,Eloy %A Berger,Uta %A Jeltsch,Florian %A Mooij, Wolf M. %A Railsback, Steven F. %A Thulke,Hans-Hermann %A Weiner,Jacob %A Wiegand,Thorsten %A DeAngelis, Donald L. %K Analysis %K Ecological research_Analysis %K Ecological research_Methods %K Methods %X

Agent-based complex systems are dynamic networks of many interacting agents; examples include ecosystems, financial markets, and cities. The search for general principles underlying the internal organization of such systems often uses bottom-up simulation models such as cellular automata and agent-based models. No general framework for designing, testing, and analyzing bottom-up models has yet been established, but recent advances in ecological modeling have come together in a general strategy we call pattern-oriented modeling. This strategy provides a unifying framework for decoding the internal organization of agent-based complex systems and may lead toward unifying algorithmic theories of the relation between adaptive behavior and system complexity.

%B Science %V 310 %P 987(5) %8 2005/11/11/ %@ 0036-8075 %G eng